MMX Group/8818 Oakleaf Forest Dr, Houston, TX 77088
Flip66.9%
HM→DSCR0.717x
Cash→DSCR0.717x
New Deal

8818 Oakleaf Forest Dr, Houston, TX 77088

3bd / 2ba · 1,968 sqft · built 1982 · Single Family (SFR)Analyzed Jun 10, 2026
Flip ROI
66.9%
PASS
+$22,782 profit
6-mo hold · profit ÷ cash out
DSCR — 75% LTV
0.717x
FAIL
cash-out refi · NOI / debt service
DSCR — No Cash-Out
0.756x
FAIL
71.2% LTV · HML payoff refi
Max Bid @ 20%
$154,661
PASS
✓ offer $140,000 under max
Total Invested
$25,681
down + points + costs + holding, pre-refi
Cash Left in Deal
$15,894
after HM → DSCR cash-out refi
Value Generated
$75,000
ARV − purchase − rehab (instant equity)
Starting Equity %
25.0%
ARV − DSCR loan ÷ ARV, day 1 post-refi
$
$
$
$
$
$
Scenario 1 — Flip
Hard money loan · sell at ARV after rehab
PASSES FLIP
Min 20% ROI · 6-mo hold
66.9%
Flip ROI
Cash to First Close
$16,500
what you bring day 1
Net Profit
$22,782
Max Bid @ 20%
$154,661
$22,782 profit  ÷  $34,043 total invested  =  66.9%
Acquisition Event — First Close
Hard Money Loan — 9.99% Interest-Only
Loan Amount
$183,000
Purchase (95% LTV)
$133,000
Rehab (100%)
$50,000
Loan-to-ARV
69.1%
Monthly Interest
$1,523/mo
Down Payment5% of $140,000 purchase
$7,000
+
Origination Fee1 pts on $183,000 loan
$2,500
+
Closing Costs5% of purchase
$7,000
=
Cash to First Close
$16,500
Holding Period — 6 Months
HML Interest9.99% IO · $1,523/mo × 6$9,141
Property Taxes$409/mo × 6$2,453
Insurance$158/mo × 6$950
Total Holding Costs$12,543
Contingency Reserve10% of rehab — held, not at first close$5,000
Sale Event — Second Close
Sale Price (ARV)
$265,000
HML Principal Payofffull IO loan balance
$183,000
Closing Costs3.5% of sale price
$9,275
Realtor Commission6% of sale price
$15,900
=
Net Proceeds to You
$56,825
Deal Summary
Net Proceeds at Closing
$56,825
Cash to First Close
$16,500
Holding Costs (6 mo)
$12,543
Contingency Reserve
$5,000
=
NET PROFIT
$22,782
Max Bid by ROI Target
ROIMax Bidvs Offer
10%$157,830✓ ok
15%$156,234✓ ok
20%$154,661✓ ok
25%$153,110✓ ok
30%$151,581✓ ok
Scenario 2 — HM→DSCR
Hard money @ 9.99% IO → DSCR refi · 75% ARV · 7.1% / 30yr
FAILS DSCR
Min 1.30x · 7.1% / 30-yr DSCR · 75% of ARV
0.717x
DSCR
Monthly Cash Flow
−$378/mo
Cash-on-Cash Yr 1
-28.5%
$15,894 left in deal
Acquisition Event — First Close
Hard Money Loan — 9.99% Interest-Only
Loan Amount
$183,000
Purchase (95% LTV)
$133,000
Rehab (100%)
$50,000
Loan-to-ARV
69.1%
Monthly Interest
$1,523/mo
Down Payment5% of $140,000 purchase
$7,000
+
Origination Fee1 pts on $183,000 loan
$2,500
+
Closing Costs5% of purchase
$7,000
=
Cash to First Close
$16,500
Holding Period — 2 Months
HML Interest9.99% IO · $1,523/mo × 2$3,047
Property Taxes$409/mo × 2$818
Insurance$158/mo × 2$317
Total Holding Costs$4,181
Contingency Reserve10% of rehab — held, not at first close$5,000
DSCR Refinance — Second Close
DSCR Loan Proceeds75% of ARV · 7.1% / 30yr
$198,750
HML Principal Payofffull IO loan balance
$183,000
Origination Fee1 pts on $198,750
$1,988
Closing Coststitle / appraisal / escrow
$3,975
=
Cash Back to You
+$9,788
Deal Summary
Cash to First Close
$16,500
+
Holding Costs (2 mo)
$4,181
+
Contingency Reserve
$5,000
Cash Back at Refi
−$9,788
=
Capital Left in Deal
$15,894
Equity Position — Day 1 Post-Refi
ARV
$265,000
DSCR Loan Balance
$198,750
=
Equity in Property
$66,250 (25.0%)
Capital Left in Deal
$15,894
=
Value Created
$50,356
$66,250 equity on $15,894 deployed = 4.2× equity leverage
Monthly Income & Expenses — Post-DSCR
Gross Rent
$1,733
Property Taxes
$409
Insurance
$158
Maintenance (6% rent)
$104
Management (6% rent)
$104
=
OpEx Subtotal
$775
=
Net Operating Income
$958
DSCR P&I
$1,336/mo
=
Net Cash Flow
−$378/mo
DSCR Ratios — Cash-Out vs No Cash-Out
Cash-Out Refi
75% of ARV — full LTV
Loan Amount$198,750
Monthly P&I$1,336/mo
Net Cash Flow−$378/mo
Cash Back at Refi+$9,788
DSCR
0.717x✗ Fail
Lender DSCR
0.911x✗ Fail
No Cash-Out
71.2% LTV — breakeven refi
Loan Amount$188,660
Monthly P&I$1,268/mo
Net Cash Flow−$310/mo
Cash Back at Refi+$0
DSCR
0.756x✗ Fail
Lender DSCR
0.944x✗ Fail
Required Rent by DSCR Target
TargetRent Neededvs Current
1.00x$2,162/mo+$429 needed
1.10x$2,314/mo+$581 needed
1.20x$2,466/mo+$733 needed
1.30x$2,618/mo+$885 needed
1.40x$2,769/mo+$1,036 needed
Scenario 3 — Cash→DSCR
All-cash purchase → DSCR refi · 75% ARV · 7.1% / 30yr
FAILS DSCR
Min 1.30x · 7.1% / 30-yr DSCR · 75% of ARV
0.717x
DSCR
Monthly Cash Flow
−$378/mo
Cash-on-Cash Yr 1
-43.8%
$10,347 left in deal
Acquisition Event — First Close
Purchase Price
$140,000
+
Rehab Budget
$50,000
+
Closing Costs5% of purchase
$7,000
=
Total Cash to First Close
$197,000
Holding Period — 2 Months
Property Taxes$409/mo × 2$818
Insurance$158/mo × 2$317
Total Holding Costs$1,134
Contingency Reserve10% of rehab — held, not at first close$5,000
DSCR Refinance — Second Close
DSCR Loan Proceeds75% of ARV · 7.1% / 30yr
$198,750
Origination Fee1 pts on $198,750
$1,988
Closing Coststitle / appraisal / escrow
$3,975
=
Net Cash Recovered
$192,788
Deal Summary
Total Cash to First Close
$197,000
+
Holding Costs (2 mo)
$1,134
+
Contingency Reserve
$5,000
Net Cash Recovered at Refi
$192,788
=
Capital Left in Deal
$10,347
Equity Position — Day 1 Post-Refi
ARV
$265,000
DSCR Loan Balance
$198,750
=
Equity in Property
$66,250 (25.0%)
Capital Left in Deal
$10,347
=
Value Created
$55,903
$66,250 equity on $10,347 deployed = 6.4× equity leverage
Monthly Income & Expenses — Post-DSCR
Gross Rent
$1,733
Property Taxes
$409
Insurance
$158
Maintenance (6% rent)
$104
Management (6% rent)
$104
=
OpEx Subtotal
$775
=
Net Operating Income
$958
DSCR P&I
$1,336/mo
=
Net Cash Flow
−$378/mo
DSCR Ratios — Cash-Out vs No Cash-Out
Cash-Out Refi
75% of ARV — full LTV
Loan Amount$198,750
Monthly P&I$1,336/mo
Net Cash Flow−$378/mo
Cash Still Required−$10,347
DSCR
0.717x✗ Fail
Lender DSCR
0.911x✗ Fail
No Cash-Out
75.0% LTV — capped short $10,347
Loan Amount$198,750
Monthly P&I$1,336/mo
Net Cash Flow−$378/mo
Cash Still Required−$10,347
DSCR
0.717x✗ Fail
Lender DSCR
0.911x✗ Fail
Required Rent by DSCR Target
TargetRent Neededvs Current
1.00x$2,162/mo+$429 needed
1.10x$2,314/mo+$581 needed
1.20x$2,466/mo+$733 needed
1.30x$2,618/mo+$885 needed
1.40x$2,769/mo+$1,036 needed
30-Year Hold Projection
Click to expand
DSCR loan $198,750 @ 7.1% · 3% rent growth · Via Hard Money · Via All Cash (same DSCR loan)
8818 Oakleaf Forest Dr, Houston, TX 77088 — MX Analyzer